Archive for the ‘politics’ Category

Trump’s struggle for power.

Monday, February 17th, 2020

The president attempting to actually exercise the powers of the presidency is rather like Queen of England attempting to actually rule England. As was revealed in the House impeachment hearings, the permanent government are shocked and outraged that a merely elected politician meddles in running the country, and are disinclined to comply.

Trump cannot get anybody senate confirmed, and those few Senate confirmed appointments, who are seldom loyal, have a great deal of leverage over Trump and effective independence. The problem is disloyal Republicans in the senate are preventing Trump from appointing Trump loyalists.

McCabe was let off, despite committing all the usual crimes that Democrats commit all the time and that they want to give Trump associates such as Stone and General Flynn years in prison for.

If Trump’s people can be punished, and his enemies can commit crimes unpunished, then not yet in power. Further, if his enemies can commit crimes unpunished, the crimes will escalate.

But the Department of Justice team that let off McCabe and persecuted Roger Stone has resigned – probably one step ahead of an investigation into the numerous gross improprieties that Roger Stone and General Flynn’s lawyers have been complaining about. This resignation is going to put a spoke into future efforts to persecute Trump associates and cover up the crimes of his opponents, which makes it easier to get loyalists and harder to commit crimes against the president.

The Durham report, which is likely to find grounds to imprison a pile of people in the DoJ and FBI, and perhaps Obama and Obama associates, is not coming out any time soon. Perhaps it takes time to investigate, perhaps Durham is stalling till he sees which way the wind blows, or perhaps Trump is not yet ready for the explosion that will surely follow if it is not a graywash.

It looks like 2020 may well be a democratic election, perhaps the last democratic federal election, though we will continue to hold elections that everyone piously agrees are democratic for centuries, as the Roman Empire did. If Trump succeeds in increasing the Republican numbers in the Senate, and in arresting the people who used illegal means in the various attempts to overthrow him, then he will be fairly close to being in power, without needing to do anything that would make it too obvious that the Republic is dead and has been dead for quite some time. Augustus Caesar said, and probably believed, that he was restoring the Republic, and I hope that the American Republic gets similarly “restored”.

Elections have been seemingly working because there is nothing actually at stake. It is just a ritual like the Queen riding a stagecoach to open parliament. If you think that things have become too tense for democracy to work, wait till there is real power on the table up for grabs. The conflict is likely to make the first Trump election seem normal. The conflict you are seeing now is like progressive family members blowing up thanksgiving dinner. They are just exploding over mere symbols. Wait till there is money and power at stake.

The job of mainstream conservatism is to move the right edge of the Overton window left, and the job of the mainstream left is to move the left edge of the Overton window left.

And if the Overton window closes, mainstream conservatives do not have a job. They are lying about what their job is, and lying about being disemployed, and therefore engaging in massive crimestop. Their current job is to put themselves out of work. If Trump does not fire them, the Democrats will imprison, then eventually execute, them. It is a dead end career path – that may quite likely end in actual death. They are a mildly inflamed appendix, soon to become a seriously inflamed appendix.

If a mainstream conservative is nice about the left sending people associated with the Trump campaign to jail, and all of them are being nice about it, soon the left will decide that they too are associated with Trump. Indeed they already have. The correspondents to the New York Times all think that the mainstream conservatives are crypto fascists, and that deadly violence is the only thing fascists understand.

If you are mainstream conservative, and want to stay out of jail, the correct course of action is to call for death for those who let off McCabe but threw the book at Stone. When you see the blade of the salami slicer heading your way, it is time to not be nice. Being nice about a grossly political judiciary and department of justice is suicidal for anyone to the right of Pol Pot. But the mainstream conservatives are quietly being nice, as the salami slicer slices closer and closer.

If Trump gains power, it is the end of their careers. If he loses power, it is the end of their careers, and quite possibly the end of their lives.

A prediction.

Saturday, January 25th, 2020

Because of rationalization, prediction is a good test of theories. One can always with sufficient cleverness find a hundred and one explanations of past events that fit your model. Wrong predictions indicate indicate false models, and right predictions indicate true models, but retrodiction is always suspiciously accurate.

Correct retrodiction is sometimes valid evidence for the truth of a model when it makes sense out of phenomena that were formerly arbitrary, for example Newton inventing calculus and universal gravitation to explain Kepler’s laws, the oxygen theory replacing the phlogiston theory, and the red pill and evolutionary psychology making sense out of female behavior that is destructive, self destructive, and seemingly irrational, for example their failure to cooperate with our rape and sexual harassment laws. But what tends to happen is that each case that fails to fit the false model, for example miasma theory, is explained away and vanishes down the memory hole, even if, as with miasma theory, a whole lot of people die in that failure. One correct prediction for germ theory (John Snow’s pump) had more impact that a thousand failures of miasma theory to explain past deaths. For three decades, Apocalyptic Anthropogenic Global Warming has always retrodicted past temperatures with pinpoint accuracy, while always predicting climate catastrophe with millions climate refugees or dead in two decades, with the predictions of catastrophe getting their dates moved forward a few years ever few years.

I predict that from here on, every federal judge and every red state judge is going to quietly and silently toss every past case and every recent precedent down the memory hole and stop obstructing ICE (immigration and Customs Enforcement) and the BIA.

My model of the judicial system is that the court and appeals process is Kayfabe, that the real decisions are made in secret for secret for reasons, like the outcome of matches in professional wrestling, that the judiciary is corrupt from top to bottom, and that its decisions are frequently unjust, when justice conflicts, as it often does, with secret commands and secret policies.

Notice that when the judiciary is bypassed or ignored, the results tend to be quite good. Notice, for example, that every patent that gets enforced is bogus, and that legitimate patents never get enforced. Notice that Duterte’s death squads were hugely popular. I was in Davao when Duterete was mayor, and everyone, with only a single exception, was mighty keen on them. And the one exception probably needed killing. Notice that the Australian border control authority gets to make quasi judicial decisions, for example tearing up Sultan and Nassar’s tourist visas and then throwing them in jail without access to judges and lawyers, and the left is never able to find a case where they did this unjustly, as justice would be perceived by normal people. The left screamed to the heavens about the extrajudicial imprisonment of Sultan and Nassar, and the public never took any interest. Even the astroturf was checking their watches, while the courts make horrifying cruel, unjust, and obviously politically motivated and commanded decisions all the time, as for example Paul Manafort.

My model of judiciary is that they were under orders that if any man set foot in the US, the judiciary was to give him lifetime residence, welfare, and the vote, even if he came here illegally and was making a living by robbing and killing. Therefore, since a single judge has abruptly reversed himself, the secret orders have abruptly changed, and henceforth every judge will turn a deaf ear to illegals and people who (like Sultan, Nassar and Dehghani Hossein) arrive on visas that likely fail to reflect the real intent of their visit.

If we suppose that the judicial process is real, rather than kayfabe, then one minor judge’s miraculous change of heart should not be followed by every judge everywhere having the same miraculous change of heart at the same time. We shall see.

Creeping coup

Tuesday, December 31st, 2019

Doing illegal acts and getting away with it due to state power is a creeping coup. If one side in a struggle for state power can do illegal things, and the other side cannot, the illegal things eventually escalate till the political leadership of side that cannot commit crimes flees the country or goes into hiding. We are in hiding, and people in the military with dangerous ideas get prosecuted for war crimes. People associated with the Trump campaign get charged with obscure and incomprehensible crimes that everyone unknowingly commits, while Democrats stuff ballot boxes and collect bribes with complete immunity. Jon Corzine (Democratic party privilege, not Jewish privilege) got off for robbing investors, and the banks were forced to make the people he robbed whole.

Treason doth never prosper: what’s the reason?
Why, if it prosper, none dare call it treason.

Thus, for example, the normalization of homosexuality. The gays were allowed to commit violence against those that disagreed with the normalization of homosexuality, the courts and police winked at the violence, and suddenly everyone agreed that homosexuality was just the cats whiskers. And now, antifa and illegal immigrant violence against white people, as for example the Kate Steinle case.

The only real crime that anyone connected to the Trump campaign has been convicted of is stretching the truth on a mortgage application. But during the great minority mortgage meltdown, every white speculator, starting in 2005 November when every white speculator realized that the bubble was going to burst, unloaded overpriced housing onto blacks and Hispanics, usually Hispanics with no income, no job, and no assets, often a drunk cat eating wetback pulled out of the gutter from outside Home Depot with a bottle of whiskey, and the loan officer, usually a loan officer working directly or indirectly for Countrywide Bank, created a pile of lies that the drunk could not read and signed with his mark. None of the people who created these highly creative loan applications were prosecuted, because the banks, and especially Countrywide Bank, were doing the very holy work of moving minorities into green leafy overwhelmingly white suburbs.

The speculators unloaded overpriced houses onto people who could not pay, because people who could not pay were unworried about the price, even if they were sufficiently sober to know what the price was and what they were signing, but were nonetheless able to borrow, because if they were not able to borrow, it would constitute redlining. Beverly Hills Bank was destroyed by the regulators for its racist reluctance to make such loans, for its insistence that borrowers should be able to pay mortgages (redlining) but when the bad loans blew up, no one was punished, everyone was bailed out. Angelo Mozillo, the biggest villain in the Great Minority Mortgage Meltdown got a slap on the wrist for billions of dollars in losses on completely fraudulent mortgages and general failure to keep legally required records of who owned what, and who owed what, while Trump adviser Paul Manafort gets severely punished for a bit of creativity on one small mortgage application, which mortgage did not go bad.

Normally if a borrower is able and willing to pay on time, no one cares exactly what was written on the mortgage application, which tends to be filled out by the loan officer with whatever it is supposed to say pro forma, without too much consideration for the underlying reality for those details that are not all that relevant to the borrowers ability and willingness to pay. There are too many boxes, and they just routinely tick them all without examining them too carefully. But the details that are relevant to ability and willingness to pay, those they are supposed to be take seriously, and for white people, they do take them seriously.

Conveniently, the white speculators unloading overpriced houses had no written connection or direct financial relationship to the borrower or the loan officer, and no part in preparing the loan application, though the (usually white) speculator usually gave the (always black or Hispanic) borrower something under the table, and the (usually Hispanic) real estate agent usually gave the (frequently Hispanic) loan officer something under the table.

By 2006, every speculator with skin in the game, every speculator willing and able to pay a mortgage, which speculators were almost always white, had unloaded onto people who were borrowing against their race, not their assets. Then in 2007, the whole house of cards came tumbling down, because the white people had stopped playing the game and left the table, and everyone who had fraudulently set pen to paper was very holy, or of a protected race, and usually both, and so none of them were punished, except for Angelo Mozillo, who got a slap on the wrist for all the innumerable wrongdoings of innumerable loan officers directly or indirectly in his employ.

When the bubble burst there was frantic search for scapegoats who were not race hustlers. They eventually decided to blame the derivatives market, even though everyone knew the problem was dodgy loans. That precisely no one was prosecuted for signing a dodgy mortgage application, even though all mortgage applications are so tediously lengthy that you could probably find something dodgy on most of them, suggests that every single white speculator who was underwater unloaded before the bubble burst. In 2006 January it appeared to me that every white speculator was unloading and most of them had unloaded by the end of 2005 November. That the derivatives market was, in significant and substantial part, managed by Jews suggests that Jewish privilege is dropping to the bottom of the list of privileged people, with dot Indians way ahead of them.

If there had been any white speculators with under water mortgages still around when the bubble burst, they would today be remembered great outrage. Whites skedaddled when it became obvious how it was going to end. Only those protected by racial privilege kept on partying to the end. White speculators got out in 2005 November. Everyone who was still partying the bubble in 2007 as if it was still 2005 was protected by racial privilege or Democratic party membership from adverse consequences.

The bank did not lose any money, or even suffer any late payments, on Paul Manafort’s loan, nor was it ever likely that they would. Every loan officer everywhere is apt to routinely tick all those boring overly numerous boxes. During the great minority mortgage meltdown, they massively falsified the ability and willingness to pay of borrowers who were usually obviously unable and unwilling to pay, and sometimes had no idea what they were signing, pissing away unimaginably huge amounts of money, yet no borrowers and no loan officers were ever prosecuted, while Paul Manafort gets the book thrown at him for one trivial detail on a loan application – which implies that Mueller’s lawyers went over every document of everyone connected to the Trump campaign with a fine tooth comb. If someone went over every document that you signed, often documents with far too many pages detailing lots of boring complicated routine requirements that no one actually cares about or pays much attention to, how would you fare? The stack of documents you signed in a mortgage application is several inches thick. Did you carefully read all of them? What did your loan officer write on those documents that you signed and never read?

The loan officer wrote on your stack of documents the same thing he wrote on a thousand similar six inch deep stacks of documents. Was everything he wrote applicable to your loan? You did not read them, but it looks like Mueller’s lawyers read everything signed at any time by anyone involved in the Trump campaign.

After FDR the merely elected government lost power to the permanent government, the president lost power to the presidency and, starting around 2008, the permanent government lost power to the deep state. And the deep state is apt to send cops to the doors of its enemies, while the Democrats merely sends a mob of blacks, who are less dangerous.

The legislature has long ceded the boring tasks of legislating to the permanent government, the judiciary and the lobbyists, the latter faction reaching its ill fated and ludicrous extreme in the Transpacific Partnership, where skyscrapers full of high paid lawyers in New York wrote pallet loads of planned legislation and regulation to be applied world wide to govern the minutiae of daily life and economic activity in far off places of which they knew nothing and cared less, whose pallet loads of dense obscure legalese and bureaucratese could all be summarized in five words: “everything now belongs to us”, the ultimate absurdist end point of lobbyist written legislation. Mostly they wanted to confiscate value created in flyover country, which is what got Trump’s goat, but disrupting the value creation being done on the other side of the planet in the Australian outback would have been collateral damage, since this colossal pile of freshly minted onerous regulation would have been trans pacific.

Meanwhile the presidency auctioned of America’s foreign policy to the highest bidder, cheerfully ignoring the president. Obama was content if the foreign policy establishment gave him some photo ops. Too corrupt to stay bought, they implemented both Israel’s foreign policy, and the “International Community” anti Israeli policy. While their holy belief system was Harvard’s foreign policy, their actual foreign policy was even more erratic and less intelligible, and terrifyingly and bloodily unpredictable. They armed and funded Islamic State, and they bombed Islamic state. They destroyed Libya, and were surprised and confused when they were unable to rule the ruins. Having destroyed Libya’s military, they were unable to believe it when Al Quaeda used conventional war and a conventional military to pursue power and remove American power.

In order to govern, it is necessary for the governing elite to act as one, which requires social cohesion and rules of good conduct, which come from ethnic and religious cohesion. Puritanism arose in a holiness spiral, which rapidly spiraled to post Christianity. A holiness spiral undermines cohesion, and post Christianity drops the the beliefs that made Christendom cohesive and effective. Thus the Puritans lost power in England in 1660, and England became sane, and remained sane for a century and a half. The holiness spiral of the Church of New England escalated more slowly, but is now reaching heights of madness comparable to those of the post Christian Puritans that Cromwell had to crush. The state religion of progressivism is succumbing to madness, rendering it incapable of functioning as the faith of an elite capable of ruling.

This manifests in the increasing use of violence and coercion, police power, and the criminalization of political differences in struggles within the elite. Convicting Sheriff Joe in 2017 crossed the Rubicon, and there are no more sharp lines between “ordinary” political conflict and civil war. If you arrest one political opponent over political differences, why not all of them?

If you arrest one political opponent who is a fellow member of the elite for his political position, eventually it will be all of them.

The design of the founders was that the elite would act as one through the person of the president, and this worked. But the rise of the power of the presidency, and the decline of the power of the president, meant it stopped working, and Harvard’s holy synods of bishops are a poor substitute, as illustrated by the chaos of American foreign policy and the absurdity of the Trans Pacific Partnership.

Clinton was famously crooked as a dogs hind leg, but he imposed some order among the Democrats. When Obama became president, their legal immunity resulted in all manner of crimes. Hunter Biden’s legal troubles go all the way back to 2008. The democrats and the deep state have endless crimes that Trump could legally jail them for, but he does not. We all know what the Durham report will show, if it does not continue the pretense. We have known what it could and likely will reveal since 2012, long before Trump got caught up in this. The Horowitz report was a limited hangout, which points towards a full hangout. Chances are that the Durham report will make what everyone has known since 2012 official administration knowledge, that the deep state has been illegally wiretapping the political elite since 2008 and likely earlier.

In 2012 Edward Snowden and Julian Assange revealed that the NSA was illegally spying on Americans. And everyone shrugged their shoulders and said to themselves “Hey, they are not going to care about me, they are going to looking at important people.” And, of course, we now know that they were looking at important people, both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, and everyone connected to them.

The 9/11 presidential order in 2001 gave them alarmingly broad powers to tap people – which would be not too bad if the president could control that information, but inevitably it slipped from the president’s hands. In 2007 Bush rescinded that order. I conjecture that he realized it was being used against Republicans, and perhaps himself, and expected that when he left office, would be used in that manner a whole lot more, but the rescission was ignored. The actual practice has been illegally escalating ever since, and under Obama, no end of petty partisans in the elite gained the ability to spy on other members of the elite and use that knowledge for nefarious petty partisan purposes. And with the election of Trump, that presidential power inevitably came to be used by the presidency against the president. The trouble with allowing spying on Americans is that it is such a powerful tool that the elite is bound to turn it on each other, with the result that power falls into the hands of the security agencies.

Sooner or later as the elite increasingly relies on coercive means and secret police to resolve policy conflicts, they are bound to start arresting, and shortly thereafter, killing, each other. Either Trump will jail them, or they will jail Trump, and shortly thereafter start jailing each other, then kill Trump and his family, and shortly thereafter, kill each other.

If, in the Durham report, the Trump administration comes to officially know what everyone has known since 2012, that the deep state has been acting illegally, then it is war between the deep state and the Trump administration.

What is holding up the Durham report? Everyone knows what will be in it if it is not yet another cover up. I hope that what is holding it up is the same thing as is holding up Pelosi sending the articles of impeachment to the Senate. Trump is likely sounding out the praetorians and getting them in place. Everyone is getting ready for what happens when arresting members of the elite over political differences escalates a lot further than it has already escalated.

If Trump imprisons them, the pretense that we are still a Republic will continue to have some plausibility, but Trump will be Caesar, for the arrest of the deep state for illegal acts that everyone knows about but no one admits will give him the power to arrest democrats for everything from notorious ballot box stuffing to equally notorious graft and corruption. If they arrest Trump, the pretense will get a bit thinner, though no doubt everyone will continue to piously believe.

Libertarianism

Sunday, December 22nd, 2019

Libertarianism is classical liberalism. Classical liberalism is, or was, the Puritan sect known as the Levelers, who opposed aristocracy, Kings, and Bishops, but supported private property in the means of production, supported natural inequality, opposed socialism and communism, opposed them for a mixture of religious reasons(God ordained private property and capitalism in the fall) and quite modern reasons (price control and debasing the currency has the consequences that it does, therefore wrecking the market does not work)

Trouble with the Leveller-ClassicLiberal-Libertarian theory is that if everyone is equal before the law you have to give everyone the vote, and then someone comes along and says “Vote for me and I will kill all the classic liberals and you can take their stuff”.

The libertarians, the levelers, were of course correct on capitalism. We intend to revert to the most recent known working social order, the one that gave us science, technology, industry, industrialization, and empire, the social order of Restoration England.

Puritan England was capitalist, had been capitalist since a brief interruption to capitalism which ended in the twelfth century, and remained capitalist because Cromwell crushed the Puritan extremists, who wanted communism.  But the restoration introduced corporate capitalism and the joint stock for profit publicly traded corporation, which made possible Rand’s heroic entrepreneur, who uses other people’s labor and other people’s capital to advance technology and make it widely available and widely used.

Without rich people, no mills, no abundant cheap good quality steel, no transistor, no integrated circuits, no computers. Without billionaires, no access to space. You cannot make a pencil unless the boss provides you with custom made tools and tells you how to use them.

Way back in the beginning, the people who were to become what we would later call Classic Liberals believed that blacks were equal to whites, and not only before the law, but in the sense that they were as capable of adhering to contracts and working for a living as free laborers as whites are.

It seemed absolutely obvious to the abolitionists that if you abolished slavery, the former slaves would contract with the former masters to the same work as before, at a fairer reward, and without the very considerable overhead of whips and chains.

This did not in fact happen, because the slaves were an inherently low trust, less trustworthy, group.

The libertarians/classic liberals were unable to realize the problem of keeping low trust peoples away or under control, because of Christian universalism. They were the levelers, and in substantial part, they still are.

Obviously, if you believe in freedom of contract, private property, and all that stuff, then affirmative action and all that is the grossest possible violation. Affirmative action and all that is also wildly unpopular, yet where do you hear libertarians campaigning on that?

Libertarians are not people who believe in private property and Ayn Rand’s account of economic growth and technological advance. They are Puritans.

“I, Pencil” is a libertarian tale about how no one knows how to make a pencil but through the magic of markets lots of people cooperate and pencils get made.

Ayn Rand disagrees.  In Ayn Rand’s version the pencil factory owner understands how to manufacture pencils better than the workers, the lumber company owner understands how to get men to produce lumber in exchange for money, the shipping company owner understands logistics and ships things on schedule even though the parts of his operation don’t have to understand the whole.

On this, Reactionaries are on board with Ayn Rand.  But where Ayn Rand is very wrong is that good governance does not fall from the sky.  Leftists think that goods fall from the sky.  Libertarians think that knowledge and ability to make goods fall from the sky.  And Ayn Rand thought that good governance falls from the sky.

Ayn Rand thought that warriors “mystics of muscle” were dangerous and useless, and priests “mystics of spirit” were merely peddling foolishness, much as commies think that capitalists do not do anything useful, and progressives think that factories and capitalists do not do anything useful.  Supposedly stuff just magically appears on the supermarket shelves, and the evil capitalists cruelly charge people money for stuff that they had nothing to do with.

The entrepreneur has to outsource stuff outside his core competence to the market, which the libertarian version gets right, but he is in the business of insourcing his core competence, which the libertarian version ignores.

Rand, unlike the libertarians, got both the outsourcing and the insourcing correct, but neglected the problem of defending property rights. You need warriors to actually defend property rights, and priests to give the warriors cohesion and to get everyone on the same page about what rights are rightly defended by what means.

If libertarians are people who believe that the economy should run on freedom of contract, they would be in favor of feeding low trust people into the wood chipper, feet first, slowly, but observed libertarians are in favor of open borders and less incarceration. Puritanism strikes again.

Today’s leftism is organizationally descended from Puritanism (when the former headquarters of the former state Church of Massachusetts declares that Oceania has always been at war with Eastasia, every academic everywhere outside of China and Russia instantly and completely agrees, and not only agrees, but is entirely certain without a shadow of doubt that he always has agreed) but while leftism has rejected every tenet of puritanism except war on Christmas and war on marriage, through one heresy after another, Libertarians are descended memetically from the leveler sect of puritanism, pretty much unchanged, their error and their failure being the original error of the levelers, still doing wrong what the original levelers did wrong.

If you are a libertarian, you don’t believe in welfare. So what do you do if someone finds it difficult to get a job because of a past history of misbehavior, and is unmotivated to get a job because he cannot think ahead all the way to payday, and is likely to be fired before payday anyway.

Well if you are a libertarian, you say that there are no such people, abolish welfare for the undeserving poor and everyone will behave well when they get sufficiently hungry. That is the leveler speaking. “No Bishop, No King!”

If you are a reactionary however, you suspect that such people are more likely to try to eat you when they get hungry, and therefore such people need to be enslaved, exiled, or otherwise taken permanently out of circulation.

Don’t use enemy words, you will not be understood.

Monday, December 16th, 2019

Enemy words are always understood as enemy meanings. And they will always be understood in this sense even if we hold the megaphone, because their official definition always conflates two very different and incompatible natural kinds.

Don’t use the words “racist”, “psychopath”, “sweatshop”, “sociopath”, and “pedophile”, among many others equally evil.

When someone says “Democrats are the real racists”, he is using the word “racist” correctly and in accord with its official definition (“racist” means badwhite), and he thinks he is being understood, and it superficially looks as if he is being understood, but instead of being understood as saying that we need to shutdown affirmative action and stop blacks from shooting cops and burning down the shops in their neighborhood, is instead understood as saying that the Democratic Party needs to purge its remaining whites and go brown.

Using the word “racist” in accord with its official definition (badwhite) fails to communicate, because the natural kind of evil anti correlates with the natural kind of white. Whites are the most good race, the least evil race.

If you say Arkan is a psychopath, you are using the word correctly and in accord with its official meaning (evil warrior), and people will seemingly understand you, but you will be understood as saying that Army First Lt. Clint Lorance was also a war criminal, and that the prosecution was right to cook up whatever crimes and whatever evidence for those crimes were necessary to convict him, and that Trump was very wicked to pardon him.

If you say Trotsky was a psychopath, you are using the word incorrectly, since psychopaths are supposed to be calm in the face of danger and resistant to coercion. Trotsky was not resistant to coercion, and it is hard to tell if he was calm in the face of danger, because he always ran away from danger. You will be understood as giving credit to his story that he was a successful and effective military officer in the civil war, which in a sense he was, but Trotsky administered the military from an embarassingly safe distance, while Stalin headed off to where the action was.

Using the word psychopath in accord with its official definition (evil warrior) fails to communicate, because the natural kind of evil anticorrelates with the natural kind of warrior. The virtues of calm in the face of immediate danger, and determination in the face of immediate harm anticorrelate with the vices of short term manipulative lying, short termism in interpersonal skills, and the pursuit of short term goals. cluster B is toxic masculinity, psychopath hardcore toxic masculinity, and sociopath is a toxic husband who loves his wife, his children, his kin, and his friends.

You need a word for courage and manliness, and you need a separate word for evil. When you have a word for something that is not a natural kind, but a combination of the characteristics of two natural kinds that are by nature contrary to each other, its sole function is to create confusion between natural kinds. Actual usage necessarily collapses to referring to one kind or the other.

If you are white, you are a racist, if you are brave, you are a psychopath, and if you love your family, you are a sociopath. And when people attempt to use these words in other meanings, as with “Democrats are the real racists”, they just fall flat on their faces.

Just flat out does not work. It is laughable to even attempt to say it. When a black gang roams the streets looking for white kids to beat up no one calls them racists, because they are not racists, and if you call them racists you sound crazy. No one understands what you are talking about.

The official definition of “racist” is not “white”. It is “badwhite”. But simply having such a definition necessarily collapses in practice to “it is not alright to be white”. And the official definition of psychopath is not warrior but evil warrior, which is in one sense plausible, since warriors regularly do terrible things. On the other hand, because the warrior virtues are in fact virtues, does not make sense, so in actual usage necessarily collapses to “it is not alright to be brave or manly”

Because the characteristics used in the official definition of a psychopath, a sociopath, a pedophile, or a racist anticorrelate, actual usage necessarily to collapses to one cluster or the other cluster

If you have one word for both, then priestly types can never be evil, and warrior types can never be good. So the actual usage in practice necessarily collapses to a hateful word for warrior.

Official definition of racist: “Badwhite”; Actual usage and what happens if you attempt to use it in the official sense: “Whites are evil”.

Every attempt to use enemy words in accordance with their official enemy definition simply fails every time. “Democrats are the real racists”

Communication just does not ensue.

The intent of words that do not correspond to natural kinds is to lie and confuse, and trying to use them to tell the truth just fails. They are words with a lie at their core built into them.

“Sociopath” is a hate word for love and loyalty. If you care about your wife and kids, you are a sociopath, and again, no one is going to understand you if you attempt to give it a non standard and unusual meaning. Trying to use these words is like calling blacks and democrats “racist”. Just does not compute. No one is going to understand you.

If capitalism and poor work conditions were a natural kind, if the word “sweatshop” referred to a natural kind, that would imply that capitalism is poor work conditions, or causes poor work conditions. If injustice motivated by racial difference was a natural kind, that would imply that noticing racial difference is injustice.

Politics played for keeps.

Tuesday, November 12th, 2019

The progressives are signaling that if you are white and male very bad things are going to happen to you. The cuckservatives are starting to signal that if you are a Trump supporter, then when term limits remove Trump, or the next massively rigged election removes Trump, very bad things are going to happen to you. The cuckservatives hope that if they signal hard enough, it is only going to be white male Trump supporters.

Out of one side of their mouths cuckservatives say that it is absurd to suggest that progressives are proposing the extermination or expulsion of white males, and out of the other side of their mouths they say that if you are a Trump supporter, come the end of the Trump era, you are going to pay.

This is not necessarily a good way of removing Trump. Not in 2020, and not in 2024. In the impeachment vote, every Republican voted party line, which is an extraordinary and startling turn around. This is a vote that signals a hope that Democrats will never be allowed to return to power, and an expectation that such a return may well be prevented.

The Republicans, faced with increasingly dire threats from the enemy have united behind Trump. With the threat in front of them that from henceforth politics is going to played for keepsies, they are going with keeping. And Trumpism is increasingly moving to the position “screw the constitution, if we are ever removed from power, the constitution is dead anyway. Lets grab on to power and hang on for our dear lives.”

White males and white Christians cannot continue to win elections, and cannot afford to lose them.

What, you may ask, does Trump expect?

What they don’t know is that we hang it up in five years, or nine years, or thirteen years (pause for cheering) maybe seventeen years …

Well, what is it that the Democrats don’t know? Trump is a very good public speaker. He is not in the habit of losing the thread of his own words.

So either he is going senile, or what they don’t know is that he is preparing a self coup against their color revolution.

The great betrayal is over. America is not for sale. We are more determined than ever to drain the swamp … A lot of bad things happened, and a lot of bad things are going to be revealed.

If the people that sold out America face charges for quid pro quo, not a whole lot of Democrats in the 2020 election. Biden makes a really bad deal for the US, and his son walks away with a truckload of Chinese money. Seems that there have been a whole lot of mysteriously bad deals.

Trump deploys rhetoric that is preparation for an election, and also preparation for civil war.

They want to obliterate the rule of law, drive out faith from the public square, silence you online, confiscate your guns … they want to indoctrinate your children, destroy anyone who has traditional values. All you have to do is ask the Covington boys. The far left wants to impose their authoritarian ideology on the nation telling you what to think, what to believe, and how you should live. They want to erase our traditions, our history, our culture, and our heroes. They want to subjugate you and break you to their will.

Deep State and the failed American ruling class believe it is their right to rule over you and redistribue your wealth all over the world. … Past leaders transformed far away nations into chaotic war zones then they demanded that America take unlimimited immigration from those terror afflicted regions. … We did not fight them over there only to invite them over here.

Democrats have waged an unrelenting assault against people of faith.

Free speech, freedom of assembly, religious liberty, and the right to keep and bear arms. … Faith and family.

Trump is appealing to tribalism to win the forthcoming civil war, but a tribe needs a faith, and the priesthood is in the hands of our enemies. And when he addresses the Covington boys, he condemns the enemy priesthood.

Sixteen more years

Thursday, October 24th, 2019

Trump when addressing the masses does not explicitly cover the issues covered in this blog, but when addressing the shale conference, addressing the merchant elite, he touched on them:

He tells the shale industry that they should run shale because the merchant class should have the property rights they need to do the day to day running of the ordinary stuff: “you make this country run”..

Trump hopes to continue ruling beyond 2024: “Sixteen more years”

The way the wind blows, looks increasingly possible. Trump anticipates that his opponents are going to resort to violence, and is confident that once open violence is on the table, he wins. His opponents are making a big mistake.

The left increasingly doubt that they can win 2020, so are determined to remove the president. They know that attempting to remove the president by following precedent and the constitutional process of impeachment would be a disaster for them, so left’s plan for impeachment is color revolution: escalating defiance of the rules until they finally impeach Trump in an irregular fashion contrary to the constitution. But this only maintains the appearance of legality and precedent if Republicans go along with it.

The color revolution script is “he is weak, weaker, weaker, he is falling, he is falling, falling, falling, falling, he has fallen”. And if he has already fallen no need to hold a merely formal impeachment. Trump is countering the color revolution script by talking up unity and greatness, and by and large, most of the cuckservatives are reluctantly falling into line.

Color revolutions are apt to turn into genocidal holy war when the other side does not play along with the script. The “he has fallen” announcement is apt to be made in flagrant defiance of reality, as happened in Syria. Actual fighting then ensues between the new “government” and the “fallen” government. Not that I am betting on civil war before the 2020 election, but the Democrats are on a path where they either fail, or proceed to civil war. Likely they will accept failing this time, whereupon the older smarter whiter Democrats lose power to the crazies, who complain that the saner Democrats stabbed the crazier Democrats in the back, as of course they will have done if we are to postpone Civil War II till after 2020.

If they go with impeachment according to the rules and precedent, will totally blow up in their faces. If they back off from impeachment, the left will devour them. If they follow the color revolution script to the bitter end, irregular impeachment proceedings followed by premature proclamation of decisive victory and irregular impeachment, then Civil War II in place of the 2020 election.

We probably will not have Civil War II in place of the 2020 election, but everywhere around the American Hegemony, elite civility is collapsing, and they are playing with tactics that bring us closer to civil war. in many places in the American hegemony the elite are maneuvering to start arresting each other, everywhere political events are deviating further and further from established precedent and established legality. It seems too soon for Civil War II before the 2020 election, but the path to that is on the table. If I was in Trump’s shoes, I would aim to delay Civil War II till after 2020, but events are out of control. The saner Democrats need to get their crazies in line, and are so far not doing so, because no enemies to the left, no friends to the right. Irregular impeachment, if followed all the way to “he has fallen” would result in Civil War II considerably sooner than I expect. They have to capitulate by giving him the regular impeachment process in accord with precedent and the constitution, or just put impeachment on the back burner, and get on with normal legislative business like passing the the new trade deal, whereupon they get torn apart by their crazies.

The ideal outcome would be a short and not very bloody Civil War II, followed by a purge of the presidency and the military. But a purge will have limited effectiveness so long as we have no replacement for our current state religion, which will continue to exercise religious power even if it temporarily suffers major losses of presidential power. A nastier civil war and a more effective purge will create a smoking crater where the current state religion used to be. A gentler solution would be that progressivism falls apart, as communism did, when movement towards ever lefter is off the table, and falls apart internally rather than being converted into a smoking crater, and then we install a more stable state religion based on the ancient traditions of the west. Sulla did the smoking crater solution, but the smoking crater remained. Suharto did the smoking crater solution, but he had an existing state religion ready to roll.

Because Trump has few people, a smoking crater this soon would be a problem.

Listen to what the enemy does not say

Thursday, October 10th, 2019

The New York Times issued a vague and meandering editorial on the latest developments in the ever escalating crisis.

“No simple resolution is available” – and then conspicuously fails to mention some simple resolutions.

“Congress … can’t very well send its sergeant-at-arms to the White House to enforce its subpoenas.”

Why not, you ask? What is unsaid is that Congress attempting to enforce its will against the President without going through the impeachment process would be the first step into Civil War II, which would probably end with Trump as King.

The younger, browner, and dumber Democrats may well snatch power from the frail and failing hands of the elderly white Democrats, and if they do, are dumb enough to start Civil War II, but they are probably not going to snatch power tomorrow morning.

“Impeaching a president for refusing to participate in an impeachment inquiry is a kind of meta-impeachment. It would allow Mr. Trump to argue that the meta-impeachment is illegitimate because it isn’t based on an investigation.” Why not hold the impeachment inquiry without Trump’s cooperation, as they did with Nixon on Watergate, and then impeach Trump both for the Ukraine and for failure to cooperate as they impeached Nixon both for Watergate and for failure to cooperate? Why not follow long established precedent? It is not as if there is any genuine doubt about what happened in the Ukraine. The purpose of the proposed inquiry is not resolve doubt, but to manufacture doubt where there is no genuinely doubt, to manufacture smoke regardless of the existence of fire, to obfuscate Democratic crimes in the Ukraine with much shouting, posturing, and vague accusation.

Because long established precedent is the briar patch that Brer Rabbit wants to be thrown into. Trump wants a full blown trial in the Senate with the power to call witnesses and compel testimony on what happened in the Ukraine.

By calling an impeachment on failure to cooperate without impeachment on the underlying charges “a kind of meta impeachment” the New York Times implicitly admits that such an impeachment would be unprecedented and arguably unconstitutional, like finding someone guilty of obstructing justice without finding that there was some underlying wrongful conduct for him to obstruct justice in

If the House impeaches for non cooperation, without impeaching on the matter that cooperation is being demanded upon, then the Senate cannot investigate the matter that cooperation is demanded upon, so cannot investigate whether the cooperation was reasonable, so it would be flagrantly outrageous and unjust for any Senator to vote for impeachment, and that would bite them in the next election.

What is unsaid is that full court dress trial in the Senate inquiring into the Ukraine would be a catastrophe for the Democrats, a catastrophe that Trump is trying to maneuver them into, and a catastrophe that the whiter, smarter, elderly, and frail Democrats are trying desperately to avoid.

Draining the swamp

Saturday, September 28th, 2019
“Bring the jobs back” Done
“Build the wall” Started
“Drain the swamp” Starting

Trump, because Biden is the most electable Democratic Party candidate, drew attention to the fact that Biden used taxpayer money to shut off the light on his families corruption. So, naturally they accuse Trump of doing what Biden did, and are now attempting to impeach him for it – which draws further attention to what Biden, and other Democrats, and the assorted ngos closely connected to the Democrats and the State Department, got up to.

What triggered this is that the new administration in Ukraine is now in a position to shine the light on the dirty deeds of the previous administration, which looted the place in conjunction with assorted American carryonbaggers.

Trump called the new Ukraine administration up to shine the light on the dirty deeds involving the Clintons, Obama, Victoria Nuland, Vice President Biden, and the roots of the Mueller investigation.

Naturally the very holy panicked, and proceeded with the worst possible response:

Their response is an effort to protect their self delusions of moral superiority and competence. It is not a response directed at external reality, but at protecting their internal delusions.

Trump’s real crime is of course insufficient wokeness, which is illegal in the current year, and getting more illegal every day, but pegging the charge on the Ukraine was to hang it on the worst possible peg. Visualize an impeachment hearing featuring a large cast of ngo carryonbaggers with Clinton, Obama, and Biden connections, caught like deer in the headlights.

One of the many hurtful effects of a state religion that requires you to disbelieve in what is seen, rather than merely believe in what is unseen, is that it drives the adherents mad and makes them stupid.

We are required to disbelieve in things things that get right in our face, such as female misconduct in the workplace, disbelieve things that expose us and our children to substantial physical danger like the black problem, and to believe in things that lose buckets of money, as illustrated by the destruction of the Star Wars franchise that Disney paid four billion for.

Notoriously, social justice warriors always project. If they are doing something bad, they will accuse other people of what they are doing – thereby alerting you to what they are up to. If they are caught doing something bad, they will accuse twice as loudly, even if it is absolutely obvious to everyone else that they are doing something bad, often with bad results for themselves. Their projection is primarily to defend themselves from becoming aware of their own conduct, not to deflect accusations.

They are, of course, going after Trump for insufficient wokeness, and if they ever return to power, will imprison him, imprison his family, then the Republican party, and then kill them. But they are going after Trump on the Ukraine connection to protect the color revolutionist self image as bringing freedom and democracy to the oppressed masses, when in fact they are just knocking over apple carts to grab some apples. It is the worst possible strategy for protecting their image in the eyes of public, but they are trying to protect it in their own eyes.

Another side effect of a state religion that requires you to believe in absurdities is that those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities. Every color revolution, at best winds up with carryonbaggers knocking over the apple cart to grab some apples, at worst, in genocide. Despite the frequent and loudly announced claim that western elites are squeaky clean, unlike those terrible third world regimes, we observe that ngos in color revolutions and international assitance projects are generally a cause of corruption, rather than a cure, the aftermath of the Haitian Earthquake being a spectacular example. The ngos did far worse damage than the earthquake did. Since you are always telling big lies, why not tell some big lies that enable you to grab the food out of the mouths of starving people?

Attempting to impeach Trump on this enables Trump to focus everyone on the swampiness of the swamp.

“Well,” said Br’er Fox, “it looks like there’s no water around here to drown you in. I guess I’ll skin you instead.” “Okay, Br’er Fox, no problem,” chattered Br’er Rabbit, “Go ahead and skin me, cut out my eyes, cut off my legs, just don’t throw me into that briar patch!”

Looks like Trump is already reveling in that briar patch.

We are all white nationalists now

Monday, September 16th, 2019

Including Elizaneth Heng, an east Asian child of Cambodian refugees and a moderately left wing Republican candidate.

When she took out a campaign ad reminding people that socialism is a murderous disaster, she was a racist, a sexist, a misogynist, a white nationalist, and all that. And similarly, if you try to discuss the facts on global warming, you are suffering from toxic masculinity. Obviously the only possible reason for disagreeing with plans to destroy the economy and murder millions of people is that you hate women and nams. If you disagree with the self appointed saviors of humanity, that constitutes violence against them – violence motivated by racism and sexism.

Recently esr called me a disgusting racist. I have no idea why. I did not ask him and if I had asked him would not have received a coherent answer, because to answer would be to acknowledge some thought crime or other. They cannot acknowledge thought crimes even while denouncing them.

The left has a paranoid style of discourse, where every word, every fact, and every thought is scrutinized for patriarchy, misogyny, homophobia, racism and all that, and not just the left, but the entire mainstream right, including esr, has responded with no friends to the right, no enemies to the left. When the left decide someone is a racist Nazi misogynist and proceed to punish the evildoer, the mainstream right enthusiastically goes along in the hope of being the last to be thrown to crocodiles, but these days, they are feeding people to the crocodiles faster. Having no friends to the right just does not work any more.

The left is increasingly open about its intent to eliminate the Republican party, punish them for having been Republicans, and get rid of the fifty percent of the population who profile as likely Republican voters.

Denouncing those to your right as hateful racists and ignoring hate facts in front of your nose is just not working any more. If the Democrats regain power, Trump is going to jail, shortly to be joined by his family, and not long thereafter his family, and soon after that most of the Republican party, cucks and rinos included, then people who cling to their guns, then …

The reason socialism tends to be so astonishingly murderous is that it tends to this paranoid style. Without the paranoia, it still needs killing fields, but it is no more murderous than Hitler was.

Socialism is knocking over the apple cart to produce an abundance of apples, and for a short while, there is indeed an abundance of apples. But very shortly thereafter, a severe apple shortage. Which must be caused by evil witches casting evil spells, because it could not possibly be caused by knocking over the apple cart. So they go looking for the evil witches casting the evil spells, and the paranoid style of discourse that we see on the left (and the mainstream right, including esr) tells me they are going to go looking for the evil witches very hard indeed, and will therefore find a great many, esr and Scott Alexander among them.