No real AI progress

January 28th, 2014

AI is a hard problem, and even if we had a healthy society, we might still be stuck. That buildings are not getting taller and that fabs are not getting cheaper and not making smaller and smaller devices is social decay. That we are stuck on AI is more that it is high hanging fruit.

According to Yudkowsky, we will have AI when computers have as much computing power as human brains.

The GPU on my desktop has ten times as much computing power as the typical male human brain, and it is not looking conscious. Read the rest of this entry »

mens rea

January 26th, 2014

I have been arguing that social decay is ending technological and scientific progress.  In most areas it has strikingly slowed, in some areas, going backwards in the west, as we forget how to do what once we could do.  Others, however, argue that technological and scientific progress is still running hot, or that if it has slowed, it is that we ran out of low hanging fruit.

But a big tell is that people are lying about it. The lie indicates not only failure, but that the failure is shameful – that the failure is in us, not in external circumstances.  That we are lying about it shows the failure is social decay. Read the rest of this entry »

Now I understand the koan

January 23rd, 2014

Several people have been darkly amused by the koan

I walked to Master Moldbug but the road was too long. I visited master Jim and he hit me with a stick.

I did not understand it.   Seems to me that I am a pussycat.

But now I think I understand

Tall buildings and the social order

January 20th, 2014

To make and keep the upper stories of a tall building habitable requires routine high technology.  The lifts have to work, the water needs to be pumped, the toilets have let the poop down one hundred stories without shattering violence.  It is not all that expensive.  Current office space costs in the centers of major cities are so high that very tall buildings are immensely profitable.  It is simply difficult to do, requires able people working together, both initially to build the systems, and subsequently to keep them going.

It is habitable floors that are hard to do, and habitable floors are what generates the rental income.  So, to assess a society’s technological level, count habitable floors.

By and large, the taller the building, the more the profit.  Doubtless there is a limit, but in the center of most major cities, most tall buildings are below that limit.  If people could build taller, they would.  At our present technological level, settling space seems likely to be fatally unprofitable, but building upwards, building the city of tomorrow, is highly profitable. Read the rest of this entry »

Cthulhu swims only left

January 18th, 2014

The Orthosphere and Zippy Catholic seem curiously optimistic about the future of the Roman Catholic Church.

Seems to me that anyone who is genuinely Roman Catholic should be making spiritual and organizational preparations for excommunication.

Here are some entertaining bits from the Pope’s interview with La Republica, which came to my attention when it was parodied as “The Third Vatican Council”.  I at first mistook the parody for the real thing, since Pope Francis is hard to parody. Read the rest of this entry »

Egyptian Referendum

January 16th, 2014

Do you want a tall man on a white horse to restore order?

Having experienced democracy, briefly and suddenly, 95% of Egyptians voted yes.

Demotism and lies

January 14th, 2014

North Korea is demotic.  The US is demotic.  North Korea murders large numbers of people.  The US does not.  Scott Alexander argues, therefore, that the word demotic is not meaningful, in that it lumps unlike things together.

The North Korean regime is based on lies, since it claims its right to rule comes from the will of the people.  Therefore, the North Korean regime needs an elaborate apparatus of thought control.

The US regime is based on lies, since it claims its right to rule comes from the will of the people.  Therefore, the US regime needs an elaborate apparatus of thought control, and, as the US goes ever further left, that apparatus becomes ever more oppressive. Read the rest of this entry »

Races and subspecies

January 12th, 2014

Darwin defined race and subspecies to mean the same thing, a difference between kinds that is noticeable, but less than a species difference.

He then proceeded to argue that there was no objective distinction between a race difference and species difference, that two very different races were the same degree of difference as two closely related species.

And thus, that race is the origin of species. Over time, races may become more different, and, as some ill defined and undefinable date, it becomes reasonable to call them two different species rather than two different races.

He then proceeded to argue that the difference between the more distant human races, in particular the difference between blacks and whites, is large enough to be called a species difference, and considerably larger than the differences between many kinds that are recognized as distinct and different species.

Read the rest of this entry »

A creationist, an evolutionist, and a Darwinist were walking in the woods

January 7th, 2014

They saw patch of flowers.

“Why are these flowers beautiful?” asked the creationist rhetorically.

“OK” said the evolutionist, “Why?”

“For the joy of God and man,” said the creationist.

“No” said the evolutionist, “Beauty is subjective, in the observer, not in the flower, and nothing in nature has any purpose.  It just is.”

“No,” said the Darwinist.  “These flowers must be pollinated by a creature that drinks nectar by daylight, probably a bee, and the flowers are beautiful to please the bee, as a woman is beautiful to please her husband.”

“That is sexist,” said the evolutionist, “and why should bees care about beauty?”

Reasons for the endless movement left

January 5th, 2014

I have identified several different mechanisms for the endless movement left.
Entryism, the conspiratorial takeover of organizations by other organizations.  This is exemplified by Acorn, which has a single headquarters, but a hundred organization names, the residue of all the many organizations they have taken over.

Phariseeism:  The Puritans were holier than thou, their successors holier than Jesus. “I am holier than thou, therefore you should obey me.”

The madness of crowds, the tendency of consensus to go horribly wrong

And metastatic apostacy, the tendency of official belief systems to mutate to greater virulence.

All of these tend in practice to be the same thing.  Greater virulence is apt to be the same thing as greater holiness, greater holiness is amplified by the madness of crowds, and the entryist organization, being holier than the entered organization, takes advantage of the madness of crowds.

Thus in a single movement left, for example entryists taking over the the Science Fiction Writer’s Association, one observes entryism, the entryists are pharisees, the process of entry took advantage of consensus decision making, and the progressive pieties uttered to justify the takeover reflect that the official belief system is now more virulent than it used to be.  Each of these mechanisms was involved.