Archive for March, 2020

The Cathedral and the Holiness Spiral

Wednesday, March 25th, 2020

“The Cathedral” was the hacker metalepsis for centralized authority, which Moldbug appropriated to describe the rule of the most holy unofficially official state religion of progressivism.

A real life Cathedral is not run by a single CEO, but by a synod of bishops, and “The Cathedral” is the Beast with Seven Heads, several conspiracies struggling with each other for power and status, each composed of several individuals struggling with each other for status and power.

Rule by priests tends that way, because warriors prefer a clear chain of command, with a single man able to give command, while priests like to work by consensus. And consensus tends to madness.

Priests want to develop a shared story, so that people hearing the story from multiple seemingly separate sources will be more inclined to believe it, so naturally tend to develop their story by consensus. Warriors want a clear decision to deal with some external problem.

We are always ruled by priests or warriors, or some mixture of both, and when too many priests acquire too much power, they butt into the affairs of warriors and merchants, where consensus is a really bad way of making decisions.

The capacity of the Cathedral to abruptly and uniformly changed its line in a cohesive and coherent way indicates that the number of individuals is not a whole lot larger than the Dunbar number. Variations over time in its ability to act coherently and cohesively indicates that the number of influential individuals changes over time, and that the Cathedral struggles to preserve it ability to act cohesively, to act like a single being with a single will, not always successfully.

The Cathedral tends to be dominated by the most cohesive groups. Thus each group struggles for cohesion, as the Cathedral as a whole struggles for cohesion. One ever popular source of cohesion is blackmail through participation in shared crimes, and perhaps the Clinton group derived substantial cohesion from this source, but this necessarily only works for a quite small tightly knit group, which may well be at the center of a larger group. To hold a larger group together requires a shared faith, and so you derive cohesion by recruiting the most zealous believer in the faith.

To ensure loyalty and cohesion, the group, and the Cathedral as a whole, recruit the most zealous defenders of the faith.

Thus competition to join the group, and to rise within the group, results in ever more extreme demonstrations of holy faith, which is apt to result in manufacturing more ever extreme things to be holy about, in order to promote oneself and one’s faction, and cast out other factions, and competitors within one’s own faction, as insufficiently holy.

War with China

Wednesday, March 18th, 2020

In December Biden proposed that if elected he will go to war with China:

“I am not proposing war with China, but …”

He proposes to use the air force and navy to prevent China from oppressing dissidents, which presupposes US Navy and air force engaging and defeating the Chinese air force in the South China sea and over China. And, in the unlikely event that the US Navy and air force was not immediately sent to Davy Jones locker, what would they do with air superiority over parts over China? The Chinese are not using planes and tanks on trouble makers. They are using cops, and seldom more than one carload of cops or soldiers at a time. The only effectual thing US planes could do is blow up large concentrations of armed Chinese and blow up Chinese strong points – which is what the US has done everywhere else where the authorities or local militias have resisted color revolution.

This appears to be Cathedral policy. Has to be the most unpopular policy in history – the US navy and air force would decisively lose an airsea war in the South China sea, and the US would lose the ensuing nuclear war, because of technological decline.

My previous posts have focused on the likelihood of coup, democide, or internal war within the United States. However, as I mentioned in the previous post, it also resembles the lead up to World War I. Serbia was conducting low level war against the Austro-Hungarian Empire, which Germany reasonably regarded as low level war against Germany, and was incapable of not making low level war, albeit the same lack of cohesion that made it incapable of peace also made it incapable of full scale war.

If you talk to someone in the lamestream about female misconduct in the workplace, or accurately describe female nature, not only will he not notice the things you notice, he will not hear what you are saying, will not notice that you notice. And in the same way, if you talk to someone in the lamestream about American aggression against China, he will not understand what you are saying either. And if you talk about Chinese military supremacy in and near China, he will not only not agree, he will not disagree either because he will not understand what you are saying.

These are thought crimes, and progressives will not only not think them or say them, but they will not hear when other people say them. It is like the mysterious invisibility of female misconduct in the workplace. The British failed to notice that the mighty British army was humiliatingly defeated in Basra and Helmand province by handful of goat herders, and the US army that rescued them failed to notice that they needed rescue and had just been rescued.

A million people in concentration camps … What we started in our administration, but Trump stopped … We are going to be there to protect other folks … We are going to stop the Chinese from their actions. This is as far as you go, China. … We are not looking for a war, but … we are not going to back away.

We are going to use American airsea military power to protect people in China from the Chinese government. I am pretty sure the Chinese achieved airsea superiority in the South China sea during the Obama or Clinton presidencies and are continuing to extend the area where they have airsea superiority.

Biden probably does not remember this speech, he is unlikely to become president, and if he does become president, no one in the government is going to pay much attention to him. But the disturbing thing is that he could say this stuff and get no pushback on it, that no one noticed how stupid and dangerous this was.

Libya is poor and technologically backward, but the war on Libya ended with a transient American occupation, failure to impose the government that America was attempting to impose, and Americans retreating from Libya, which is now cheerfully reverting to its centuries old ways, as if Western influence had never been. The war on Libya was an attempt to impose progressivism on Libya, which is now a lot less progressive than it has been in a very long time.

The Democrats are demanding that the Chinese allow them to impose progressivism.

It is unlikely that the Chinese are going to back away from ruling China. One side or the other has to back away, or war. The intrusion into Hong Kong would have led to war. Had Obama been ineffectually at the helm, a hundred or a thousand people in the defense agencies and the State Department would have each been trying to impose superior holiness on the world more vigorously than each of the others.

You will recall that when China was vastly more oppressive, and vastly poorer and weaker, you heard no tough talk. Outrage about Chinese oppression started when China dropped most of the oppression and started on “Socialism with Chinese characteristics”, which characteristics look suspiciously like a good stiff dose of Hong Kong capitalism. Any time someone talks about China, he is required to say how totalitarian and oppressive they are, something that back in the days of communism, it was terribly impolite and disreputable to say. Rhetoric that is likely to lead to war is mandatory, and noticing facts that would make war on China a really bad idea is not socially acceptable.

The problem is not that Biden is headed to war with China. Should he become president he is just going to fall asleep. The problem is that the holiness spiral is headed to war with China.

We see with China the same inability to see as we see with women.

I don’t think this is a sinister plot by evil plotters to have war with China. Biden is a genuine peacenik. But, China has been heading right, the holiness spiral is heading left, so China is unholy, and all goodwhites must put a stop to any unholiness. So if you are a good person, you must prevent China from heading right – that China happens to be an independent nation with nuclear weapons, and those nuclear weapons probably work while our nuclear weapons probably do not, is irrelevant. “We are going to stop the Chinese”.

If you try arguing that China is obviously on the correct course, moving from desperate poverty to affluence, and terrible oppression to considerably milder oppression, that Chinese airsea war capability is likely to actually work, while ours is suffering mysterious malfunction, that China is an independent nation and we are morally required by Christian principles and the Peace of Westphalia to not butt into their internal affairs, it is not that they will be horrified by what you are saying. Rather, they will be unable to comprehend what you are saying. Crimestop shuts down their mind. Diversity cannot tolerate the existence of difference, because the existence of real difference is intolerant. China is different, so must be morally improved at gunpoint.

Off Topic: SARS-CoV-2 public service announcement

Monday, March 16th, 2020

Wash your hands before touching your face. Soap and water not only removes the virus, but kills it. Disinfectant works, but is unnecessary.

The virus survives for a day or two on glass, steel (such a doorknobs) and plastic (such as supermarket wrappings) Windex spray kills and removes the virus. Clean everything that has been exposed to outsiders. Windex spray is more convenient than soap and water for doorknobs and such.
NovelCoronaVirus

Download or display full size

It is likely that the anti malarial drug Chloraquine is effective against the virus.

It is also likely that the virus is evolving into less lethal forms, evolving into its own live vaccine, which protects you against more lethal forms.

Soap and windex is the best public and personal health measure.

“World Order” against America

Sunday, March 15th, 2020

Trump has not yet built the wall, though it is starting, and has protected the most critical border areas. He has made little progress on draining the swamp. Some of the key swamp critters have “resigned”, and then been given immensely well paid sinecures by the Democrats and their pet media, but Democrats, for example Schumer and the Biden family, continue to commit shockingly illegal acts with impunity, while Trump supporters face grotesquely unjust trials, long prison sentences and enormous legal costs for frivolous or artificially contrived offenses. The underlying offense that Flynn committed was that one of the mortgage documents that he signed omitted relevant information. Did you read all the documents in that enormous pile that you signed when you took out your mortgage? And do you think that the bank read them any more than you did? Normally no one would read them unless the mortgage went bad, but it is evident that Mueller’s lawyers went through anything signed by people on the Trump campaign with a fine tooth comb.

But one area where Trump has had real impact is dismantling the New World Order – the international rule of “Law”, which is to say, the international rule of Harvard.

Pentagon demanded that the US protect Turkish troops from Russian air superiority, and prevent Syrian troops from being protected from Turkish air attacks. Trump told the pentagon to pound sand. The Russians did not engage in air to ground strikes against Turkish troops, but without air superiority, Turkish ground troops got cut to bits by Syrian ground troops.

US involvement in that conflict would have likely resulted in Russians and Americans shooting at each other.

The international rule “law” would mean that the other nuclear powers submit. Not submit in the sense of US troops marching into Peking, but submit to Harvard ngos meddling in their culture and society, submit by holding a gay pride parade in Moscow. And, as we have seen in numerous third world countries, failure to submit results in “color revolution”, and failure to submit to “color revolution” results in getting the hell bombed out of you, as happened to Libya and Syria.

When Trump came to power, color revolution abruptly and suddenly ended everywhere.

The Democrats, in particular Biden, propose to resume pursuit of World Order – which pursuit draws us towards war with Russia and China.

Since Russia and China are both making advances in nuclear reactors, particularly Russia, it is likely their nuclear weapons still work. The problems we are having producing tritium, enriched lithium, and Plutonium 238 suggests that our nuclear weapons are unlikely to work.

Massive wars tend to start, not because someone deliberately decided to start a war, but because of small incidents leading to uncontrollable and unpredictable escalation. You need a sovereign that can make war and peace, a sovereign who can ensure that when he says “peace” all his subjects are forced to behave peacefully, and when he says war, all his subjects are forced to make war.

If the sovereign is weak, some of his subjects are apt to act in ways that drag everyone into war. Elements of the Serbian government instigated the assassination of the Arch Duke Ferdinand. The offenders were punished, but Germany was not happy because obviously more stuff along those lines was going to happen. The Germans demanded that the Serbian government remake itself so that unauthorized elements of the government would stop engaging in warlike acts. The Serbian government refused, and likely was incapable of complying, and one thing led to another, and eventually World War I.

In Roman times, some Jews rioted against their Greek neighbors, because a Greek had sacrificed chickens on his land adjacent to the path by which they walked to their synagogue. Roman cops showed up to restore order, the Jews killed a Roman cop, the Romans did not like that sort of thing … And eventually war between Israel and Rome, leading to the destruction of Jerusalem, the destruction of the Temple, and the expulsion of the Jews.

And if Trump had succumbed to Pentagon pressure to “secure” the Syrian/Turkish border, which is to say, prevent Syrians from securing it, Americans would have likely wound up killing a Russian pilot.

If you have a collapse of cohesion in the ruling elite, and you don’t have a sovereign powerful enough to keep them in order, elements of the ruling elite are going to engage in provocative acts.

“World Order” is Harvard exporting the American unofficially official state religion, and increasingly exporting with guns, bombs, and heavy artillery, as in Libya, Syria, and the Congo. And Russia and China know that this export program is targeted at them.

Harvard does not want war with Russia and China. It wants them to peacefully see the light, but when Russia and China obstruct Harvard’s noble efforts to help Russians and Chinese see the light, Harvard is apt to use the resources of the American state to engage in violence, usually without presidential approval. The intervention in the Congo was laundered through intermediaries, much as the assassination of the Archduke was laundered through the Black Hand group. If Trump was not president, we would be blowing stuff up on Hong Kong right now.

Much of the rage against Trump is rage at his failure to export “democracy”, and at his vigorous obstruction of governmental and quasi governmental efforts to export “democracy”

Had Trump not been president, the US would have intervened in Hong Kong, with some Harvard ngo doing what Serbian military intelligence did, and some bunch of US sponsored antifa types doing what the Black Hand group did. China might well have responded with a bunch of demands similar to those that Germany made against Serbia, and then …

Or as, in Libya, and Syria, the US might have engaged in direct military support of Hong Kong “protesters”, to which China might well have responded by destroying US military assets in and near the South China sea. This would then be declared to be another Pearl Harbor.

Hong Kong protesters have been destroying shops and businesses owned by mainland Chinese, or that they think are owned by mainland Chinese, and the Hong Kong police have been handling them with kid gloves. But there is much outrage in the US that the Hong Kong police have been obstructing the protesters at all. Absent a strong president, there would probably have been some vigorous US action to protect protesters against this terrible oppression. It is politically incorrect in America to say anything negative about the Hong Kong protesters. Political correctness means that not only can you not call out warlike acts, the elite refuses to know it is engaged in warlike acts. Even when they were bombing Libya into the stone age, they did not know that they were doing it. They could not see thirty thousand tons of high explosives, just as they cannot see female misconduct in the workplace. And Serbia refused to know it was making war on the Austro-Hungarian empire.

Harvard is outraged at the sudden cessation of color revolution throughout the world, but is unable to notice that color revolution has involved ever larger amounts of American high explosives, the connection between the American government and the color revolution has become ever more blatant, and the color revolutions have drawn ever closer to Russia and China.

The Turkish empire was the anti Turkish empire, and American empire is the anti American empire. The people empowered by World Order are for the most part Americans who hate America, and who loot the countries where they are installed in power.

Because the American ruling elite lacks cohesion, the American rulers installed by color revolution act like mobile bandits rather than stationary bandits. When color revolution comes to power, it robs the target country blind. Color revolution has become ever more unpopular, ever more violent, and ever more directly sponsored by American military power, not because anyone planned it that way, but because of the natural dynamics of a disorderly elite. Any one member of the elite personally and individually profits by color revolution that he is connected to, as for example Hunter Biden, whom Trump has renamed “Where’s Biden”, but only bears a small part of the risk it imposes on America and Americans. So, an elite without order and discipline inevitably behaved in ways more and more aggressive, and more and more likely to bring about World War Three. The way the wind blows, World War three is likely to take place because the nephew of the mistress of the undersecretary of someone in the USG State Department was looking for a million dollar payoff. The assorted ngos involved in color revolution have been stealing more and more and more cash, as they impose ever greater risks of World War Three on the US. And they personally and individually hate America and hate Americans in flyover country, so they don’t care, even if they were aware of their own actions, which they are not. The risk is socialized, and money is privatized. We will know the swamp is being drained when we get a full accounting of the money that has flowed through Where’s Biden’s hands, and a full accounting of American involvement in the Hong Kong troubles.

The American ruling elite drifts towards war internal and external, because it lacks cohesion. Increasing violence externally drags us towards war with Russia and China, and increasing violence internally, the grossly political use of police power to criminalize political disagreements, while legalizing criminal conduct of the elite, drags us towards civil war. At some point we are going to have dueling arrest warrants, when one faction of the elite attempts to arrest the other, and the other wants to arrest them for attempting arrest. The over the top reaction to investigating Hunter Biden cannot be resolved peacefully. If illegal acts by the elite are not prevented, they will escalate, and if Trump uses police powers to stop it, the Democrats will likely attempt to arrest Trump. Government is violence, and if government is incohesive, that violence is likely to escalate, internally and/or externally. It has escalated a great deal in the past few years, and reasons for its escalation have not changed.

Novel Corona virus SARS-CoV-2 and technological decay

Tuesday, March 3rd, 2020

The one area where technology is still genuinely advancing is DNA/RNA technology, and closely related technologies that are working towards nanotechnology from the biological end rather than the organic chemistry end.

China used ten year old technology to develop test kits for SARS-CoV-2 in a few days, and now has millions of test kits.

Australia and Singapore have an adequate supply of locally produced test kits, with which they appear to be successfully controlling the spread. Everyone coming in at the airport with a fever gets tested, even if they do not have dry cough or diarrhea, everyone exposed to someone with corona virus gets tested.

In America, almost every case that has been detected among people who have not been overseas has been detected in people who are very seriously ill. Which tells me that there is no testing on contact tracing, that people who merely have fever and dry cough who have been in contact with people seriously ill with corona virus have not been tested, or the tests just do not work. If you look at the proportion of confirmed corona virus cases detected in people who are not very seriously ill, the further from Harvard, the larger the proportion

Add this to the list of critical failures. The west has lost its nuclear technology. We cannot make Plutonium 238 any more, cannot make enriched lithium 6. If we cannot do that, I doubt that our nuclear weapons still work, though I hope never to find out the hard way. Our fighter planes cannot fly as high, as far, or as fast as yesterday’s fighter planes.

If we have a massive breakout in America, it will be because technological decline in the US will have reached the point that large numbers of people die of it, and that technology is only being preserved outside the US hegemony and in nations far from the center of the US hegemony. Inability to produce test kits, like slow flying fighter planes, indicates an absolute decline in critical technology in the US in the last area of world technological progress.

Since there is no effective treatment or vaccine, the only way to control corona virus is quarantine. Everyone who has fever and dry cough or fever and diahorea, and everyone who has had contact with someone with fever and dry cough should be tested, and everyone who tests positive (which will be disproportionately certain races) needs to be quarantined. We are already being dramatically told that this disease affects all races equally, which is a lie. Information on ethnicity of corona cases is being withheld and concealed, it being more important to maintain that all men are created equal than to keep people alive. And if we cannot produce test kits, it is because those who should be producing them were selected for adherence to the holy faith rather than competence in technology.